BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Afton East Union

Class: 1A Class Rank: 138 Conference: (2-16-0) Overall: (3-21-0) Overall Strength =    6.47

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Home    L     7.60   9  15   1A  97 ( 9-18) Orient-Macksburg        0.71     -6.71                      
  2 05/26/2012 Unknown L     3.35   0   7   1A 128 ( 6-23) East Greene            -3.54     -3.46                      
  3 05/26/2012 Unknown L *   5.81   6  14   1A  94 (11-21) Corydon Wayne          -1.08     -6.92                      
  4 05/29/2012 Unknown L *   0.26   2  17   1A  85 (13-13) Lenox                  -6.63     -8.37                      
  5 05/30/2012 Home    L    -4.21   2  19   1A 106 ( 9-19) Lamoni                -11.09     -5.91                      
  6 06/01/2012 Home    W    16.25  10   9   1A  89 (13- 9) Mormon Trail            9.37     -8.37                      
  7 06/04/2012 Home    L *  10.37   9  13   1A  93 (10-16) Nodaway Valley          3.49     -7.49                      
  8 06/05/2012 Away    L *   3.99   3   7   1A 136 ( 4-22) Bedford                -2.90     -1.10                      
  9 06/07/2012 Home    L *   7.54   3  14   1A  54 (18-11) Corning                 0.66    -11.66                      
 10 06/08/2012 Home    L *   3.72   1  22   1A  10 (25- 7) Southeast Warren       -3.16 *  -17.84                      
 11 06/11/2012 Away    L *   7.80   0  15   1A  14 (23-10) Pleasantville           0.92 *  -15.92                      
 12 06/12/2012 Away    L *  -0.56   7  23   1A  84 (14-12) Mount Ayr              -7.44     -8.56                      
 13 06/15/2012 Home    L *   1.92   1  13   1A  94 (11-21) Corydon Wayne          -4.96     -7.04                      
 14 06/16/2012 Unknown L     4.19   4  10   1A 127 ( 6-20) Moravia                -2.70     -3.30                      
 15 06/19/2012 Home    W *  16.37   9   8   1A  85 (13-13) Lenox                   9.49     -8.49                      
 16 06/21/2012 Away    L *   4.13   2  12   1A  93 (10-16) Nodaway Valley         -2.75     -7.25                      
 17 06/22/2012 Home    L *   0.57  13  19   2A  95 ( 2-23) Leon Central Decatur   -6.32      0.32                      
 18 06/25/2012 Away    L     8.16   3  13   1A  50 (17- 6) Murray                  1.28    -11.28                      
 19 06/26/2012 Home    W *  23.22  17   2   1A 136 ( 4-22) Bedford                16.34     -1.34                      
 20 06/29/2012 Away    L *   6.46   0  16   2A  30 (20- 8) Truro Interstate-35    -0.42 *  -15.58                      
 21 07/03/2012 Away    L *   8.31   0  10   1A  54 (18-11) Corning                 1.42    -11.42                      
 22 07/05/2012 Home    L *   5.68   4  14   1A  84 (14-12) Mount Ayr              -1.21     -8.79                      
 23 07/06/2012 Away    L *  13.13   0  15   1A   1 (40- 5) Martensdale M-SM        6.25 *  -21.25                      
 24 07/10/2012 Away    L *  11.13   0  17   1A   1 (40- 5) Martensdale M-SM        4.25 *  -21.25                      
      Averages               6.88   4.4 13.5

Best game:   23.22 = 15 point win over Bedford
Worst game:  -4.21 = 17 point loss to Lamoni
Team stdev:   6.10